today which move appears imminent. the idea also has the blessing of the Trump administration which released a statement saying US forces “will not support or be involved from the (planned Turkish) operation” along with which American troops “will no longer be from the immediate area.”
although what’s behind Turkey’s move to enter northern Syria? What is usually the potential impact of the US pull-out? along with how will the idea impact the region’s security? Here are some answers:
What’s been happening in Syria lately?
The devastating war in Syria has recently moved into a brand-new phase which could be described as one of “consolidation.” With the help of Russia along with Iran, the Syrian military has managed to all although defeat the insurgency looking to unseat Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
At the same time, the US-led coalition with the Kurdish-dominated SDF — along with to an extent Russian along with Iranian forces — managed to drive ISIS to the brink of destruction, at least territorially. ISIS holds virtually no more territory although the US warns there are still tens of thousands of ISIS fighters in hiding in both Iraq along with Syria.
The SDF also still holds thousands of ISIS fighters captured during major battles to unseat the terror group. Many of those fighters are by foreign countries, often by Europe. The Trump administration has long been warning European nations which the US will have to Discharge them if the Europeans don’t take their citizens back. If Turkey moves into northern Syria, the idea might probably take control of most of the prisons where ISIS fighters are currently being held.
What was the reaction to Sunday’s news?
The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) — the Kurdish group backed, until today, by the US in Syria — reacted with anger along with disgust, saying the US pull-back might jeopardize regional security although vowing to defend the territory they fought so hard to liberate by ISIS.
Shervan Darwish, a spokesman for Syria’s Manbij Military Council — which is usually a coalition of SDF groups — said the idea “will give a morale boost to ISIS’s sleeper sells along with will create a vacuum which ISIS will certainly use.”
“This kind of Turkish military operation in northern along with eastern Syria will have a large, negative impact on our war against ISIS along with will destroy all the stability which has been accomplished over the past years,” another SDF statement on Monday said.
Brett McGurk, the former US envoy to the anti-ISIS coalition, also heavily ripped into the Trump administration’s plans.
“The WH statement tonight on Syria after Trump spoke with Erdogan demonstrates a complete lack of understanding of anything happening on the ground. The ‘United States’ is usually not holding any ISIS detainees. They are all being held by the SDF, which Trump just served up to Turkey,” McGurk tweeted Monday.
Why is usually the US in northern Syria along with what will happen today?
After ISIS took over large parts of northeastern Syria along with northwestern Iraq years ago, the US put together a coalition to combat the terror group. While Western powers brought a lot of air power to the battlefield, they always had problems mustering a viable ground force to reclaim land. The Iraqi along with Syrian Kurds proved to be among the most effective anti-ISIS fighters, along with Washington relied on them to not only conduct ground offensives although even to call in US airstrikes.
As part of the effort to make the mostly Kurdish SDF more effective, the US along with some other nations embedded special forces with them. At the end of most of the Syrian combat operations, Turkey began voicing concern about the strong Kurdish presence in northern Syria. Ankara has been in conflict with Kurdish insurgents, both inside along with outside Turkish borders, for decades.
The US left forces in Syria to continue the fight against ISIS, although also to prevent Turkey by invading northern Syria along with driving out the US-supported Kurdish militias there.
although today, the withdrawal of US troops will open the door for Turkey to push back America’s former allies.
Why does Turkey want to launch an operation in Syria?
The Turks have long been extremely unhappy about the strong Kurdish presence in northeast Syria near the Turkish border. Turkey’s military has already moved into portions of areas previously held by SDF, although today the idea seems which Ankara has the green light by Washington to follow through on its plans to create a buffer zone in northern Syria.
Turkey does not only want to ensure which the Kurdish forces withdraw by these areas, they also want to resettle around 2 million Syrian refugees there. During the worst of the fighting of the Syrian conflict, around 3.6 million Syrians fled to Turkey. Many of those people are today either living in giant makeshift camps or in towns from the border region. The Turks expect to achieve two objectives by creating a buffer zone: drive the Kurds away by their border along with repatriate a large number of Syrians.
What does the idea mean for the fight against ISIS?
The US military has long warned which the fight against ISIS is usually not over. While the terror group has lost the territory the idea used to call its “caliphate,” there are still tens of thousands of ISIS fighters on the loose in both Syria along with Iraq, according to Washington.
Kurdish-led groups also hold thousands of ISIS prisoners, while ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Bagdadi has recently called on his supporters to break the ISIS prisoners out of jail.
So while ISIS is usually weakened, the idea is usually still around, along with still dangerous. This kind of was the main reason the US gave for staying in Syria, even after ISIS lost its last enclaves earlier This kind of year. ISIS, the US believes, still has the power along with capability to regroup along with re-emerge. The Kurds have warned which the chance of ISIS coming back will rise considerably if Turkey moves into northeast Syria.
“We were doing our best to provide the best kind of security from the prisons along with from the camps … [although] with the Turkish invasion … we are forced to pull out some of our troops by the prisons along with by the camps to the border to protect our people,” SDF spokesman Mustafa Bali told CNN.
What will happen next?
While the Kurds have vowed to defend the territory they currently control, the idea is usually hard to see them matching up against the well-equipped along with powerful Turkish military. The only way out for the Kurds may be seeking protection by Russia along with its ally, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
While Syria’s Kurds have long wanted more autonomy by Damascus, they are not against the Assad government per se. In fact, Kurdish fighters fought alongside the Syrian military in some of the battles of the country’s civil war.
Faced which has a Turkish incursion, the Kurds might already be on the phone to Assad along with the Russian military since they certainly might view Syrian government control as a lot better than a battle against the Turkish army.
Another big question is usually what will happen with the many displaced people from the former ISIS-controlled areas along with the ISIS fighters today being held by the SDF. Former US envoy McGurk believes Turkey is usually ill-equipped to deal with the situation, while President Trump has made the idea clear which he does not want to deal with the idea any longer. the idea’s very difficult to predict what will happen next in northern Syria, although the immediate future after a US pull-out certainly does not look bright.